Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 3.208353 3.824476 4.511669 5.332705 6.284603 7.351043 8.633750
2025-11-23 2.327339 3.117289 4.090230 5.367401 6.989334 8.968998 11.555380
2025-11-30 1.759101 2.600193 3.725518 5.320925 7.500380 10.345839 14.308569
2025-12-07 1.317761 2.128398 3.295823 5.066126 7.641028 11.199830 16.427285
2025-12-14 1.060118 1.852027 3.068430 5.023272 8.022308 12.370203 19.045312
2025-12-21 0.873334 1.640095 2.889230 5.004420 8.406973 13.551443 21.759142
2025-12-28 0.784981 1.569545 2.913978 5.293946 9.277986 15.515808 25.788696
2026-01-04 0.687683 1.461979 2.855555 5.430027 9.905990 17.148620 29.435649
2026-01-11 0.619223 1.393344 2.850841 5.649905 10.685245 19.076369 33.691925
2026-01-18 0.534781 1.275786 2.736679 5.654610 11.086559 20.407758 37.072133
2026-01-25 0.443554 1.124853 2.533743 5.463603 11.111147 21.093438 39.412929
2026-02-01 0.368965 0.993958 2.348336 5.277245 11.115384 21.730319 41.700634
2026-02-08 0.321626 0.917309 2.266038 5.290657 11.508505 23.109683 45.433698
2026-02-15 0.281086 0.848368 2.189429 5.305340 11.905012 24.528203 49.348807
2026-02-22 0.242109 0.774277 2.088627 5.253295 12.158987 25.696775 52.888487
2026-03-01 0.197661 0.674082 1.908819 4.999610 11.965000 25.985844 54.795800
2026-03-08 0.171214 0.618194 1.826836 4.956711 12.209833 27.146004 58.440335
2026-03-15 0.149649 0.571320 1.759378 4.937912 12.502621 28.420476 62.390651
2026-03-22 0.143192 0.570753 1.814023 5.223956 13.504758 31.215328 69.536744
2026-03-29 0.131365 0.549488 1.808698 5.358416 14.171748 33.359585 75.506516
2026-04-05 0.123471 0.539831 1.834435 5.575703 15.051704 36.013823 82.680637
2026-04-12 0.109696 0.505285 1.782169 5.580351 15.424884 37.605571 87.751803
2026-04-19 0.092423 0.452236 1.664610 5.391588 15.307124 38.114507 90.576720